Far from timid • Caveat Lector

My Favorite DFS Plays For NFL Week 3

My Favorite DFS Plays For NFL Week 3

Ryan Tannehill – QB – Miami Dolphins (FD$7400/DK$6200)

Yes, I know people aren’t exactly in a rush to play Ryan Tannehill for whatever their reasons may be. With that being said we have to acknowledge the Browns secondary is more charitable than Oprah. “You get 20 yards. You get 20 yards. You get 20 yards.”  The Dolphins run game is going nowhere fast so if they’re going to blow the Browns out, it will probably have everything to do with the Dolphins passing game. His price not being as cheap as you would think could work in favor of those not looking for a particularly popular play


Marcus Mariota – QB – Tennessee Titans (FD $7700/DK$5900)

I don’t feel as good about Mariota as the other quarterbacks listed here but Oakland has given up 404 passing yards a game in the first two contests. He’s had 17 points in each of the first two contests and I think there’s a good chance we see an uptick in production against the Raiders pass “defense” this week.


Andrew Luck – QB – Indianapolis Colts (FD $8700/DK$7600)

Andrew Luck might be for this week what Cam Newton was for last week. He’s a QB with a limitless ceiling who I feel will be underowned because of the type of options in his price range. The Chargers defense wreaked havoc on the hapless Jaguars and bewildered “breakout candidate” Blake Bortles last week but got torched by Alex Smith the week before. Asides from Jason Verrett, there’s nothing about this defense that screams, “Oh man, I have to beware”. Consider the kind of shootout potential this game has as well and Luck is an extremely attractive play that should be somewhat overlooked.


Charles Sims – HB – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FD $6300/DK$4900)

Say it with me. Jacquizz Rodgers is not a threat to Charles Sims touches or playing time in any significant way. Charles Sims might get 20 touches this week with a handful being catches and is a good bet to score against a rather average Rams defense. After that display against the Cardinals last week, it might be hard to bet on a Bucs player but Sims is in a great situation with their backfield basically all to himself.


Matt Forte – HB – New York Jets (FD $7500/DK$7000)

Hey man, Forte’s knees may be angel dust by Halloween but as of right now he’s averaging almost 30 touches a game. The Jets are going to be in a tough environment on the road, and Forte has had ten days to rest since the 30 carries he had in Buffalo. And for good measure, the Kansas City Chiefs have allowed the third most fantasy points to runningbacks this year. Forte, while his body is still together, is locked and loaded as an RB1 and this week is no different.


Eddie Lacy – HB – Green Bay Packers (FD $7300/DK$6100)

Yes, I know that we are all fed up with Eddie Lacy as a nation but he’s averaging 4.3 yards per carry at the moment. His issues come from the fact that he hasn’t scored yet and he’s caught one pass. The Detroit Lions have given up 5.1 YPC this year. It has to add up eventually, right?


CJ Anderson – HB – Denver Broncos (FD$8000/DK$7300)

Anderson is off to a fast start this year as he has a combined 47 touches in the first two games. The Bengals have given up the most fantasy points to runningbacks thus far and I don’t see that generosity stopping this week.


David Johnson – RB - Arizona (FD $8400/DK$7700)

DeAngelo Williams is in the same price range so I expect him to be fairly popular this week. Johnson is an elite talent in an elite offense and is playing in a game that has train wreck potential against the overmatched Buffalo Bills. Matt Forte torched these same guys last week. Johnson should have a really good game this week.


Jarvis Landry – WR - Miami (FD $7000/DK$6600)

You can’t take that much out of Landry’s production (10 catches 135 yards on 13 targets) because Miami was training by eleventy billion points. That said, Miami’s backfield is a mess and the Browns are the most generous secondary in football. If this game gets to the blowout everybody thinks it will, one would think the passing game would be the main catalyst. He’s going to see his share of targets and the Browns don’t cover anyone. That seems like a good recipe for success to me.


Philip Dorsett – WR – Indianapolis Colts (FD $6000/DK$4400)

If Jason Verrett gets as much of T.Y. Hilton as he probably should, that leaves Philip Dorsett to fend for himself against a very inviting Chargers secondary.  A Luck/Dorsett stack could prove to be very profitable.

Allen Robinson – WR – Jacksonville Jaguars (FD $7900/DK$7500) Jimmy Smith and Shareece Wright scare exactly nobody. There’s a little bit of panic around Allen Robinson based on his slow start. Now is the time to pounce as a 13-15 target game could be right around the corner. I don’t think he’s going to get five targets in a game again for the rest of the year. Take advantage.

Sterling Shepard – WR – New York Giants (FD $6500/DK$5500)   Here’s the thing about this alleged Josh Norman following Odell Beckham around thing. The Giants have other weapons to attack a leaky Washington secondary. Washington has been especially generous to slot wide receivers as they’ve allowed 11-134-1 to Eli Rogers and Cole Beasley the last two weeks. The Giants run game inspires nobody so I’m assuming they’ll be putting it up quite a few times, and Shepard is a good mid-priced investment on this slate.


Dennis Pitta – TE- Baltimore Ravens (FD $5000/DK$3400)

12 targets and 9 catches for Pitta last week. We know how much Joe Flacco loves him and his skill level certainly isn’t represented in his price point. Add in that the Jaguars stink and this game has shootout potential and you have a really good play here.


Jordan Cameron – TE – Miami Dolphins ($5400/DK$2900)

Cleveland has given up the most receptions in the league to tight ends this year so far. Jordan Cameron is a former Cleveland Brown so why not? I don’t really have some in-depth analysis further than that.


Jason Witten – TE – Dallas Cowboys ($6000/DK$4300)

Do I really need to explain why I would play Jason Witten at home with a rookie QB against a bullshit Chicago defense? Oops, there’s the explanation.


New York Giants D/ST (FD $4500/DK$3300 - Kirk Cousins is like Santa Claus so maybe a couple of Giant defensive players get gifts.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST ($4500/$3100) - They’re playing against Case Keenum. Yeehaw

Photo Series: 92 Bricks - 21st Brick

Photo Series: 92 Bricks - 21st Brick

NFL Week 3 Preview: Seahawks vs. 49ers

NFL Week 3 Preview: Seahawks vs. 49ers